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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Flávio Jesus

Atlético Malveira

1–1

Full-time

AD Marco 09

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Malveira AD Marco 09

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Atlético Malveira 73. · AD Marco 09 35. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
12	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
13	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
18	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
19	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
20	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
21	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Vila Meã	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
65	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
66	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
67	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
69	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
70	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
71	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
72	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
83	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
84	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
85	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
86	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
87	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
127	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
132	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
133	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
134	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
135	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
136	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
7	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
32	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
40	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
75	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
47	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
84	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
85	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Malveira AD Marco 09

29′

🔁 Pedro Correia

↦ Luizinho Silva

31′

⚽ Hélder Pedro 0–1

1–1 Luis Selemane ⚽

43′

Half-time 1–1

57′

🔁 João Leal

↦ Alisson Spier

Marcelo Silva 🔁

↦ Diogo Pêras

75′

Igor Sani 🔁

↦ Ailton Duarte

75′

76′

🟨

82′

🔁 Arthur

↦ Bruno Mendonça

82′

🔁 Serginho

↦ Ricardo Tavares

82′

🔁 João Abreu

↦ Valdinho

88′

🟨

Y. Restrepo 🔁

↦ Afonso Henriques

89′

🟨

97′

98′

🟨

110′

🟨

111′

🔁 Lucas Reis

↦ Hélder Pedro

🟨

112′

Pedrinho 🔁

↦ Ivan Dias

117′

🟨

123′

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atlético Malveira

97 Ivan Dias

13 Ivo Dias

2 Jorge Rolo

12 Drula

28 Leandro Bral

8 André Oliveira

17 Diogo Pêras

94 Ailton Duarte

10 Afonso Henriques

24 Bruninho

77 Luis Selemane

Bench (9)

20 Marcelo Silva

50 Igor Sani

Y. Restrepo

1 Pedrinho

4 Rodrigo Correia

5 Tiago Rodrigues

19 J. Arango

22 G. Lozano

99 Aliu Baldé

Coach: Nuno Lopes

AD Marco 09

1 Pedro Freitas

21 Ricardo Tavares

17 A. Issoko

3 Manuel Pedro

30 Chiclete

6 Didi

8 Hélder Pedro

23 Alisson Spier

10 Valdinho

15 Bruno Mendonça

28 Luizinho Silva

Bench (9)

9 Pedro Correia

7 João Leal

5 Arthur

24 Serginho

88 João Abreu

11 Lucas Reis

20 Luís Pedro

25 Hugo Pereira

26 José Couto

Coach: Pedro Barroso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Sep TP 2 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Atlético Malveira

AD Marco 09

Odds comparison

Recent matches