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Serie B

Referee: A Santoro

Lecco

T U T T T

0–2

Full-time

Ascoli

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 6/9 matches

Win Ø 11%

22%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecco 20. · Ascoli 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Palermo	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Venezia	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Catanzaro	9	5	3	1	+2	18
5	Cosenza	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Cremonese	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Cittadella	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Modena	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Brescia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
11	Sudtirol	8	2	4	2	+2	10
12	Bari	9	1	7	1	+0	10
13	Pisa	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Ascoli	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Reggiana	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Ternana	9	1	3	5	-3	6
17	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Lecco	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Ternana	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Bari	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Reggiana	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	FeralpiSalo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Ascoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.