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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Paderborn

T S U S S

2–2

Full-time

St Pauli

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

78%

56%

Both score Ø 78%

89%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

6 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 8. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	5	4	0	+12	19
2	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+10	18
3	Hamburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Kaiserslautern	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Holstein Kiel	9	5	1	3	+0	16
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	3	2	+8	15
7	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Magdeburg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Hertha	9	4	0	5	+2	12
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-1	12
12	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-3	12
13	Nurnberg	9	3	3	3	-5	12
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Wehen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Braunschweig	10	1	2	7	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Greuther Furth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
14	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Braunschweig	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Osnabruck	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Elversberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-4	6
8	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
9	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Wehen	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Osnabruck	4	0	2	2	-8	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.