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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Basel
U T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Servette
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 21%
11%
30%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
89%
50%
Both score Ø 74%
78%
70%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,53 xG 2,58
52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 12. · Servette 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 11 6 5 0 +13 -1.2 23
2 Young Boys 10 6 3 1 +11 +1.0 21
3 St. Gallen 10 5 3 2 +6 +4.1 18
4 Lugano 9 5 0 4 +3 +1.8 15
5 Luzern 10 4 3 3 -1 -0.5 15
6 Yverdon 10 4 3 3 -4 -3.6 15
7 Servette 10 3 4 3 -2 -0.0 13
8 Winterthur 10 3 3 4 -2 +0.7 12
9 Lausanne 11 2 3 6 -5 +0.0 9
10 Lausanne Ouchy 10 2 3 5 -8 -0.5 9
11 Grasshoppers 10 2 2 6 -3 -0.3 8
12 Basel 9 1 2 6 -8 -1.6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Servette
F. van Breemen 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
4′
36′
🟨 Yoan Severin
Half-time 0–0
Thierno Barry 🟨
46′
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ G. Sigua
53′
M. Dräger 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
53′
63′
Y. Severin 0–1
67′
🔁 E. Crivelli
↦ C. Bedia
Finn van Breemen 🟨
68′
J. Augustin 🔁
↦ T. Barry
71′
M. Malone 🔁
↦ Đ. Jovanović
71′
77′
🟨 Bradley Mazikou
79′
🔁 J. Guillemenot
↦ A. Antunes
80′
🔁 G. Ondoua
↦ D. Kutesa
84′
🔁 B. Bolla
↦ T. Cognat
87′
🟨 Bendegúz Bolla
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 M. Hitz G
27 K. Rüegg D
26 A. Barišić D
4 Arnau Comas D
31 D. Schmid D
34 T. Xhaka M
21 G. Sigua M
20 F. Frei M
40 Renato Veiga M
9 T. Barry M
99 Đ. Jovanović F
Bench (9)
25 F. van Breemen
19 Y. Demir
6 M. Dräger
10 J. Augustin
11 M. Malone
8 Jonathan Dubasin
37 L. Avdullahu
13 M. Salvi
33 J. Gauto

Coach: H. Vogel

Servette

4-4-1-1
1 J. Mall G
3 K. Tsunemoto D
4 S. Rouiller D
19 Y. Severin D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
28 D. Douline M
8 T. Cognat M
10 A. Antunes M
17 D. Kutesa F
29 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
27 E. Crivelli
21 J. Guillemenot
5 G. Ondoua
77 B. Bolla
20 T. Magnin
33 N. Vouilloz
32 J. Frick

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.