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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Livingston
U T S U U
0–3
Full-time
Celtic
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 6
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 7. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 St Mirren 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Rangers 5 3 0 2 +6 9
5 Hearts 5 2 1 2 +2 7
6 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -1 7
7 Livingston 5 1 3 1 -3 6
8 Kilmarnock 5 1 2 2 -1 5
9 Dundee 5 1 2 2 -3 5
10 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Aberdeen 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 ST Johnstone 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Celtic
Luiyi de Lucas 🟨
13′
14′
R. Hatate 0–1
22′
🟨 Alistair Johnston
26′
🟨 Liam Scales
28′
🟥 Joe Hart
30′
🔁 S. Bain
↦ J. Forrest
Half-time 0–2
48′
M. O'Riley 0–2
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
58′
T. Parkes 🔁
↦ M. Sangare
58′
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ J. Brandon
58′
61′
🔁 T. Iwata
↦ R. Hatate
Andrew Shinnie 🟨
66′
Steven Bradley 🟨
70′
S. Lawal 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
71′
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
71′
71′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
Samson Lawal 🟨
74′
Tom Parkes 🟨
80′
95′
D. Maeda 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-2-1
1 S. George G
12 J. Brandon D
23 L. de Lucas D
6 A. Obileye D
29 J. Penrice D
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
20 M. Sangare M
19 J. Nouble M
8 S. Pittman M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
10 S. Kelly
4 T. Parkes
16 S. Bradley
40 S. Lawal
28 K. Guthrie
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
24 S. Kelly
11 D. Mackay
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
4 G. Lagerbielke D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
49 J. Forrest F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
29 S. Bain
24 T. Iwata
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
28 Paulo Bernardo
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
7 L. Palma
14 D. Turnbull
56 A. Ralston
15 O. Holm

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,28
U
5,96
B ✓
1,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.