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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Dunkerque
U T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Paris FC
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 15%
10%
20%
Points per game
0,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 20. · Paris FC 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Auxerre 11 6 4 1 +13 22
3 Angers 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Grenoble 10 5 5 0 +7 20
5 St Etienne 10 5 3 2 +4 18
6 Rodez 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Guingamp 10 4 3 3 +6 15
8 Pau FC 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Caen 11 4 2 5 +3 14
10 Ajaccio 10 3 5 2 -2 14
11 Amiens 10 4 2 4 -3 14
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 10 2 5 3 -2 11
14 Bastia 10 3 2 5 -6 11
15 Concarneau 10 3 2 5 -6 11
16 Troyes 10 1 5 4 -2 8
17 Paris FC 10 2 1 7 -6 7
18 Valenciennes 10 1 4 5 -8 7
19 Quevilly Rouen 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Dunkerque 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Paris FC
11′
L. Diaby-Fadiga 0–1
41′
🔁 Y. Demoncy
↦ L. Doucet
Half-time 0–1
Remy Boissier 🟨
46′
Á. Orelién 🔁
↦ B. Youssouf
46′
A. Gnanduillet 🔁
↦ A. Ba-Sy
46′
59′
🔁 P. Hamel
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
64′
S. Alakouch 0–2
I. Kebbal
1–2 A. Gnanduillet
E. Bardeli
72′
S. Baghdadi 🔁
↦ R. Boissier
73′
77′
P. Hamel 1–3
I. Kebbal
T. Keita 🔁
↦ J. Anziani
83′
Tidiane Keita 🟨
84′
90′
🔁 M. Touré
↦ I. Kebbal
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
26 Opa Sanganté D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
28 D. Thiam D
10 J. Anziani M
5 R. Boissier M
27 R. Ghrieb M
20 E. Bardeli M
19 B. Youssouf M
11 A. Ba-Sy F
Bench (7)
29 Á. Orelién
21 A. Gnanduillet
9 S. Baghdadi
8 T. Keita
24 E. Bah
23 H. Gambor
1 L. Lavallée

Coach: Luís Castro

Paris FC

4-3-3
16 O. Nkambadio G
22 S. Alakouch D
25 Y. Koré D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
17 A. Camara M
14 C. Mandouki M
18 L. Doucet M
10 I. Kebbal F
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
23 J. Lukembila F
Bench (7)
8 Y. Demoncy
29 P. Hamel
19 M. Touré
40 I. Filipović
7 A. Gory
20 J. López
28 G. Oualengbe

Coach: S. Gilli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
3,20
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.