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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
4–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
44%
89%
Both score Ø 73%
56%
89%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
8 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. · Kaiserslautern 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 10 5 5 0 +12 20
2 Hamburg 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +10 18
4 Kaiserslautern 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Holstein Kiel 9 5 1 3 +0 16
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Elversberg 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Paderborn 10 4 3 3 -1 15
9 Magdeburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Hertha 9 4 0 5 +2 12
11 Wehen 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -3 12
14 Nurnberg 9 3 3 3 -5 12
15 Karlsruhe 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Schalke 04 9 2 1 6 -6 7
17 Osnabruck 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Braunschweig 10 1 2 7 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Kaiserslautern
Felix Klaus 🟨
18′
21′
R. Tachie 0–1
30′
J. Siebert 1–1
own goal
32′
M. Ritter 1–2
2–2 A. Tanaka
36′
Half-time 2–2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
46′
46′
🔁 T. Boyd
↦ R. Ache
3–2 M. Zimmermann
49′
4–2 F. Klaus
M. Zimmermann
57′
62′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ J. Niehues
5–2 A. Tanaka
V. Vermeij
63′
74′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ M. Ritter
74′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ R. Tachie
Vincent Vermeij 🟨
79′
M. Sobottka 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
80′
J. Niemiec 🔁
↦ S. Appelkamp
80′
T. Uchino 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
84′
Takashi Uchino 🟨
86′
86′
🔁 P. Hercher
↦ J. Zimmer
Marcel Sobottka 🟨
91′
N. Gavory 🔁
↦ E. Iyoha
91′
93′
🟨 Kenny Prince Redondo
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-3-3
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
20 J. Siebert D
30 J. de Wijs D
19 E. Iyoha D
23 S. Appelkamp M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus F
9 V. Vermeij F
7 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
31 M. Sobottka
18 J. Niemiec
2 T. Uchino
34 N. Gavory
15 T. Oberdorf
1 K. Niemczycki
10 D. Ginczek
27 D. Jastrzembski

Coach: D. Thioune

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
18 J. Krahl G
33 J. Elvedi D
2 B. Tomiak D
14 N. Soldo D
8 J. Zimmer M
16 J. Niehues M
20 T. Raschl M
11 K. Redondo M
29 R. Tachie F
9 R. Ache F
7 M. Ritter F
Bench (9)
13 T. Boyd
17 A. Opoku
10 P. Klement
27 L. Lobinger
23 P. Hercher
5 K. Kraus
31 B. Zolinski
19 D. Hanslik
1 A. Luthe

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,82
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.