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Ligue 2
Referee: J Pignard
Caen
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Auxerre
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
70%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,6
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 11. · Auxerre 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 10 8 1 1 +8 25
2 Auxerre 10 6 3 1 +13 21
3 Angers 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Grenoble 10 5 5 0 +7 20
5 St Etienne 10 5 3 2 +4 18
6 Rodez 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Guingamp 10 4 3 3 +6 15
8 Pau FC 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Ajaccio 10 3 5 2 -2 14
10 Amiens 10 4 2 4 -3 14
11 Caen 10 4 1 5 +3 13
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -4 12
13 Annecy 10 2 5 3 -2 11
14 Bastia 10 3 2 5 -6 11
15 Concarneau 10 3 2 5 -6 11
16 Troyes 10 1 5 4 -2 8
17 Paris FC 10 2 1 7 -6 7
18 Valenciennes 10 1 4 5 -8 7
19 Quevilly Rouen 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Dunkerque 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Auxerre
6′
A. Abdi 1–0
own goal
40′
🟨 Jubal
Emmanuel Ntim 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 F. Ayé
own goal
52′
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ Alexandre Mendy
56′
63′
🔁 Ousmane Camara
↦ F. Ayé
63′
🔁 L. Sinayoko
↦ A. Onaiwu
M. Hafid 🔁
↦ Y. Court
66′
75′
🔁 E. Owusu
↦ A. Dioussé
D. Bolumbu 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
79′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ M. Autret
79′
80′
🔁 C. Dagba
↦ P. Joly
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
92 A. Coeff D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
8 Y. Court M
61 B. Traoré M
6 Q. Daubin M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
23 M. Autret F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
11 M. Le Bihan
22 M. Hafid
3 D. Bolumbu
18 H. Mbock
16 Y. Clémentia
5 S. Ben Youssef
97 D. Debohi

Coach: J. Furlan

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
5 T. Pellenard D
13 C. Akpa D
18 A. Dioussé M
97 R. Raveloson M
10 G. Perrin M
7 G. Hein M
45 A. Onaiwu M
19 F. Ayé F
Bench (7)
28 Ousmane Camara
17 L. Sinayoko
42 E. Owusu
2 C. Dagba
40 T. De Percin
6 S. Agouzoul
11 E. Maddy

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,14
U ✓
3,46
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.