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Süper Lig

Referee: B Şeker

Kayserispor

U S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Rizespor

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,03 xG 0,86

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 10. · Rizespor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	8	0	0	+17	+16.8	24
2	Galatasaray	8	7	1	0	+12	+11.1	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	8	5	2	1	+10	+4.1	17
4	Besiktas	8	5	1	2	+3	+5.8	16
5	Hatayspor	8	3	5	0	+7	+2.8	14
6	Rizespor	8	4	2	2	-2	-2.1	14
7	Trabzonspor	8	4	0	4	+4	-0.7	12
8	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	-3	-3.7	12
9	Sivasspor	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.0	10
10	Kayserispor	8	2	4	2	-1	-1.9	10
11	Alanyaspor	8	2	4	2	-2	-1.6	10
12	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+2	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.1	9
14	Konyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.7	9
15	Buyuksehyr	8	2	1	5	-6	-3.3	7
16	Karagumruk	8	1	3	4	-2	-5.3	6
17	Gaziantep	8	2	0	6	-9	-6.6	6
18	Pendikspor	8	0	4	4	-9	-5.5	4
19	İstanbulspor	7	0	2	5	-8	-7.6	2
20	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
3	Besiktas	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.9	10
4	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
5	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
6	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.5	8
7	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
8	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.6	8
9	Rizespor	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.5	8
10	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	-4	-3.3	7
11	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.2	5
12	Antalyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.0	5
13	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
14	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
15	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
16	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
17	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
18	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.8	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
20	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.8	13
2	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.2	12
3	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.1	7
4	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
5	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
6	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
7	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
8	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	+0	-2.8	3
14	Gaziantep	5	1	0	4	-6	-5.1	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-3.0	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.5	1
20	Samsunspor	5	0	1	4	-6	+0.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.