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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Livingston
U S S U T
3–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
39%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
48%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
48%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 22 1 1 +57 67
2 Rangers 24 18 4 2 +34 58
3 Hearts 24 11 6 7 +8 39
4 St Mirren 23 9 6 8 -6 33
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 -9 32
6 Hibernian 24 9 4 11 -2 31
7 Aberdeen 24 9 2 13 -10 29
8 ST Johnstone 24 8 3 13 -10 27
9 Kilmarnock 24 6 5 13 -21 23
10 Ross County 24 5 6 13 -17 21
11 Motherwell 23 5 5 13 -9 20
12 Dundee United 23 5 5 13 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -22 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–3 17. Sep -22 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 27. Jan -21 Livingston – Kilmarnock 2–0 26. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–2 17. Oct -20 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–3

Match report

Livingston Kilmarnock
1–0 J. Nouble ⚽
10′
2–0 B. Anderson ⚽
N. Devlin
12′
3–0 S. Kelly ⚽
29′
44′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
Half-time 3–1
47′
⚽ C. Doidge 3–1
K. Vassell
62′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ A. Power
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
66′
James Penrice 🟨
68′
Joel Nouble 🟨
74′
J. Holt 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
74′
77′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ L. Polworth
80′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
D. Bahamboula 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
82′
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ J. Nouble
82′
86′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ R. McKenzie
86′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ C. Doidge
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
5 J. Fitzwater D
15 M. Boyes D
11 C. Montaño D
17 S. Kelly M
24 S. Kelly M
16 S. Bradley M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
29 J. Penrice
18 J. Holt
7 D. Bahamboula
28 K. Guthrie
22 A. Shinnie
33 S. Oméonga
6 A. Obileye
32 J. Hamilton
3 J. Longridge

Coach: D. Martindale

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
25 R. Alebiosu D
19 J. Wright D
2 L. Mayo D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
4 A. Power M
31 L. Polworth M
7 R. McKenzie M
26 C. Doidge F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
17 B. Lyons
15 F. Murray
8 B. Alston
16 S. Robinson
29 B. Wales
6 C. Stokes
14 J. Sanders
1 Z. Hemming
21 K. McInroy

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
🔒
U
3,17
🔒
B
3,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,35
🔒
U2,5
1,58
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.