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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Livingston
U T U T S
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 8. · St Mirren 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 St Mirren 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Motherwell 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Rangers 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Dundee 4 1 2 1 +0 5
6 Hearts 3 1 1 1 +1 4
7 Kilmarnock 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Livingston 3 1 1 1 -3 4
9 Ross County 3 1 0 2 -2 3
10 Aberdeen 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 ST Johnstone 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 Hibernian 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston St Mirren
M. Sangare 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
25′
44′
🟨 Richard Taylor
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Dunne
↦ R. Taylor
Ayo Obileye 🟨
60′
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ K. Guthrie
67′
67′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ G. Kiltie
Mohammed Sangare 🟨
70′
Bruce Anderson ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
80′
🔁 S. Nahmani
↦ T. Olusanya
80′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ K. Baccus
80′
🔁 J. Bolton
↦ C. McMenamin
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
82′
1–0 L. de Lucas
M. Sangare
89′
D. Mackay 🔁
↦ J. Nouble
93′
Jamie Brandon 🟨
95′
96′
S. Nahmani 1–1
A. Gogić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 S. George G
23 L. de Lucas D
6 A. Obileye D
5 M. Devlin D
12 J. Brandon M
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
29 J. Penrice M
8 S. Pittman F
19 J. Nouble F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
20 M. Sangare
9 B. Anderson
10 S. Kelly
11 D. Mackay
4 T. Parkes
16 S. Bradley
40 S. Lawal
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
32 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
20 T. Olusanya F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
18 C. Dunne
21 A. Greive
19 S. Nahmani
24 L. Jamieson
2 J. Bolton
16 T. Small
36 S. Kelly
29 G. Lennon
8 R. Flynn

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U ✓
3,06
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.