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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Lech Poznan
S S S T S
3–1
Full-time
LKS Lodz
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
18%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 49%
70%
27%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,9
0,5
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,05 xG 1,38
65% Possession 35%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 4. · LKS Lodz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 12 8 2 2 +12 +4.1 26
2 Jagiellonia 11 8 1 2 +12 +6.6 25
3 Rakow 10 7 1 2 +10 +5.3 22
4 Lech Poznan 10 6 2 2 +5 -1.3 20
5 Legia 11 6 2 3 +4 -0.1 20
6 Zaglebie 12 6 2 4 -1 -1.6 20
7 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 1 5 +9 +5.9 19
8 Piast Gliwice 12 2 8 2 +0 +9.5 14
9 Radomiak Radom 11 4 2 5 -1 +1.1 14
10 Widzew Lodz 11 4 2 5 -2 -3.3 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 5 3 -4 -0.2 14
12 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 +0 -4.0 12
13 Warta Poznan 11 2 4 5 -2 -0.0 10
14 Korona Kielce 10 2 4 4 -2 -2.6 10
15 Gornik Zabrze 11 2 4 5 -8 -8.7 10
16 Puszcza 12 2 4 6 -10 -6.4 10
17 Ruch Chorzow 11 1 4 6 -9 -3.1 7
18 LKS Lodz 11 2 1 8 -13 -1.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan LKS Lodz
2′
🟨 Michał Mokrzycki
1–0 M. Ishak
F. Marchwiński
18′
Radosław Murawski 🟨
41′
2–0 M. Ishak
K. Velde
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Szeliga
↦ Pirulo
46′
🔁 P. Janczukowicz
↦ Dani Ramírez
46′
🔁 P. Głowacki
↦ M. Śliwa
N. Kvekveskiri 🔁
↦ R. Murawski
60′
Afonso Sousa 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
60′
64′
S. Jurić 2–1
72′
🔁 A. Fase
↦ S. Jurić
A. Czerwiński 🔁
↦ A. Ba Loua
79′
3–1 K. Velde
N. Kvekveskiri
81′
F. Szymczak 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
84′
F. Wilak 🔁
↦ K. Velde
85′
90′
🔁 J. Łabędzki
↦ E. Hoti
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 Joel Pereira D
25 F. Dagerstål D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
6 J. Karlström M
22 R. Murawski M
50 A. Ba Loua M
10 F. Marchwiński M
11 K. Velde M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
30 N. Kvekveskiri
7 Afonso Sousa
44 A. Czerwiński
17 F. Szymczak
54 F. Wilak
90 A. Sobiech
3 B. Douglas
35 F. Bednarek
23 M. Blažič

Coach: J. van den Brom

LKS Lodz

4-3-3
1 A. Bobek G
8 K. Dankowski D
4 Nacho Monsalve D
24 A. Louveau D
5 M. Flis D
14 M. Mokrzycki M
16 Dani Ramírez M
11 E. Hoti M
10 Pirulo F
21 S. Jurić F
23 M. Śliwa F
Bench (9)
26 B. Szeliga
20 P. Janczukowicz
37 P. Głowacki
29 A. Fase
22 J. Łabędzki
25 M. Kołba
88 A. Marciniak
2 L. Gülen
7 A. Małachowski

Coach: P. Stokowiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Kos · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.