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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Cremonese
U U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Sudtirol
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 7. · Sudtirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 10 7 2 1 +12 23
2 Palermo 8 6 1 1 +10 19
3 Venezia 9 5 3 1 +6 18
4 Catanzaro 9 5 3 1 +2 18
5 Cosenza 9 4 2 3 +5 14
6 Como 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 Cremonese 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 Cittadella 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 Modena 8 3 3 2 +0 12
10 Brescia 6 2 4 0 +3 10
11 Sudtirol 8 2 4 2 +2 10
12 Bari 9 1 7 1 +0 10
13 Pisa 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Ascoli 9 2 3 4 -2 9
15 Reggiana 9 1 5 3 -5 8
16 Ternana 9 1 3 5 -3 6
17 Sampdoria 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Spezia 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 FeralpiSalo 9 1 2 6 -11 5
20 Lecco 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Sudtirol
Massimo Coda 🟨
31′
David Okereke 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Casiraghi
↦ N. Rauti
53′
🟨 Andrea Giorgini
Valentin Antov 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 A. Cisco
↦ M. Rover
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ D. Okereke
69′
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
72′
N. Sekulov 🔁
↦ V. Antov
72′
78′
🔁 J. Broh
↦ D. Peeters
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
80′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
80′
83′
L. Ravanelli 1–0
own goal
86′
🔁 R. Kofler
↦ R. Ciervo
87′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ R. Odogwu
93′
🟨 Emanuele Pecorino
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 M. Sarr G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez M
19 M. Castagnetti M
8 M. Collocolo M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
90 M. Coda F
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (12)
10 C. Buonaiuto
33 G. Quagliata
7 N. Sekulov
6 C. Pickel
74 F. Tsadjout
22 A. Jungdal
37 Ž. Majer
13 A. Tuia
18 P. Ghiglione
9 D. Ciofani
91 A. Bertolacci
32 G. Abrego

Coach: G. Stroppa

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
5 K. Vinetot D
55 A. Masiello D
24 S. Davì D
11 R. Ciervo M
21 F. Tait M
42 D. Peeters M
18 M. Rover M
23 N. Rauti F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
17 D. Casiraghi
26 A. Cisco
15 J. Broh
28 R. Kofler
9 E. Pecorino
6 L. Ghiringhelli
12 G. Drago
3 A. Cagnano
27 C. Shiba
77 L. Lonardi
7 N. Siega
14 G. Cuomo

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,66
U
3,63
B ✓
5,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.