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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Ternana

T U T S U

0–1

Full-time

Brescia

S U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 9/6 matches

Win Ø 22%

11%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

56%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 14

0 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 16. · Brescia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Palermo	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Venezia	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Catanzaro	9	5	3	1	+2	18
5	Cosenza	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Cremonese	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Cittadella	9	3	4	2	-2	13
9	Modena	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Brescia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
11	Sudtirol	8	2	4	2	+2	10
12	Bari	9	1	7	1	+0	10
13	Pisa	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Ascoli	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Reggiana	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Ternana	9	1	3	5	-3	6
17	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-11	5
20	Lecco	6	0	1	5	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Catanzaro	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Ternana	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Bari	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Reggiana	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Lecco	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Modena	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Cittadella	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	FeralpiSalo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Ascoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
19	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.