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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Kilmarnock
S U U S T
2–3
Full-time
Livingston
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
23%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
42%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Livingston 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 11 0 1 +33 33
2 Rangers 12 9 2 1 +20 29
3 Aberdeen 13 7 1 5 +6 22
4 Hibernian 14 6 2 6 -2 20
5 St Mirren 12 6 1 5 -5 19
6 Hearts 12 5 2 5 -1 17
7 Motherwell 13 5 1 7 +0 16
8 ST Johnstone 13 5 1 7 -3 16
9 Livingston 12 5 1 6 -7 16
10 Kilmarnock 13 3 3 7 -11 12
11 Dundee United 13 2 3 8 -15 9
12 Ross County 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -22 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 27. Jan -21 Livingston – Kilmarnock 2–0 26. Dec -20 Kilmarnock – Livingston 1–2 17. Oct -20 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–3 7. Dec -19 Livingston – Kilmarnock 3–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Livingston
1–0 J. Wright ⚽
D. Armstrong
4′
39′
⚽ B. Anderson 1–1
S. Kelly
45′
🟨 Sean Kelly
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Wright ⚽
D. Armstrong
47′
Ash Taylor 🟨
51′
56′
🔁 C. Montaño
↦ J. Longridge
56′
🔁 S. Oméonga
↦ S. Kelly
Christopher Stokes 🟨
60′
61′
⚽ S. Kelly 2–2
B. Alston 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
66′
75′
⚽ C. Stokes 3–2
own goal
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ I. Cameron
79′
L. Mayo 🔁
↦ A. Taylor
79′
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
79′
84′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ D. Bahamboula
84′
🔁 J. Holt
↦ B. Anderson
F. Murray 🔁
↦ A. Power
86′
90′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
Joe Wright 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Joel Nouble
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Hemming G
25 R. Alebiosu D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
6 C. Stokes D
4 A. Power M
22 L. Donnelly M
7 R. McKenzie M
11 D. Armstrong M
10 Jordan Jones M
27 I. Cameron F
Bench (9)
8 B. Alston
9 O. Shaw
2 L. Mayo
31 L. Polworth
15 F. Murray
21 K. McInroy
3 J. Dorsett
20 S. Walker
26 C. Doidge

Coach: D. McInnes

Livingston

4-3-1-2
1 S. George G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
3 J. Longridge D
24 S. Kelly M
8 S. Pittman M
17 S. Kelly M
7 D. Bahamboula M
9 B. Anderson F
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (7)
11 C. Montaño
33 S. Oméonga
22 A. Shinnie
18 J. Holt
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
32 J. Hamilton
31 I. Konovalov

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
🔒
U
3,03
🔒
B ✓
2,88
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,39
🔒
U2,5
1,56
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.