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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Sirius

T S S S S

3–2

Full-time

Brommapojkarna

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Brommapojkarna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

35%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,37 xG 1,33

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sirius 10. · Brommapojkarna 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	26	18	3	5	+30	+5.2	57
2	Malmo FF	26	17	4	5	+30	+7.4	55
3	Hacken	26	16	3	7	+27	+7.6	51
4	Djurgarden	26	14	4	8	+7	+2.3	46
5	Kalmar	27	12	6	9	-1	-4.9	42
6	Hammarby	26	11	7	8	+2	+2.5	40
7	Norrkoping	26	11	5	10	+5	+4.2	38
8	Varnamo	26	12	2	12	+1	+0.5	38
9	Mjallby	26	10	4	12	-3	-5.0	34
10	Sirius	26	9	5	12	+2	+6.9	32
11	AIK	26	8	7	11	-3	-0.5	31
12	Goteborg	26	7	9	10	-2	-0.9	30
13	Halmstad	26	8	6	12	-17	-2.4	30
14	Brommapojkarna	26	8	3	15	-13	-3.0	27
15	Degerfors	27	7	3	17	-31	-10.6	24
16	Varberg	26	3	5	18	-34	-9.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	13	12	0	1	+26	+3.9	36
2	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+12	+3.9	31
3	Malmo FF	13	9	3	1	+21	+2.1	30
4	Elfsborg	13	9	2	2	+17	+0.5	29
5	Hammarby	13	8	3	2	+8	+0.3	27
6	Kalmar	13	7	3	3	+1	-2.7	24
7	AIK	13	5	5	3	+5	+3.7	20
8	Norrkoping	13	6	2	5	+2	+0.2	20
9	Goteborg	13	5	3	5	+7	-0.0	18
10	Degerfors	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.4	17
11	Sirius	13	5	1	7	+5	+7.3	16
12	Varnamo	13	5	1	7	-2	+1.6	16
13	Halmstad	13	4	4	5	-6	-0.6	16
14	Brommapojkarna	13	4	2	7	-5	-0.8	14
15	Mjallby	13	3	3	7	-4	-4.8	12
16	Varberg	13	1	3	9	-19	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	13	9	1	3	+13	+4.7	28
2	Malmo FF	13	8	1	4	+9	+5.2	25
3	Varnamo	13	7	1	5	+3	-1.1	22
4	Mjallby	13	7	1	5	+1	-0.2	22
5	Norrkoping	13	5	3	5	+3	+4.0	18
6	Kalmar	14	5	3	6	-2	-2.1	18
7	Sirius	13	4	4	5	-3	-0.4	16
8	Hacken	13	4	3	6	+1	+3.7	15
9	Djurgarden	13	4	3	6	-5	-1.6	15
10	Halmstad	13	4	2	7	-11	-1.8	14
11	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.2	13
12	Brommapojkarna	13	4	1	8	-8	-2.1	13
13	Goteborg	13	2	6	5	-9	-0.8	12
14	AIK	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.2	11
15	Varberg	13	2	2	9	-15	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	13	2	1	10	-26	-8.2	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.