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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Kilmarnock
U T T U U
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · St Mirren 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +12 19
2 St Mirren 6 4 2 0 +4 14
3 Rangers 6 4 0 2 +7 12
4 Motherwell 7 3 1 3 +0 10
5 Hibernian 6 2 1 3 +1 7
6 Hearts 6 2 1 3 +1 7
7 Ross County 6 2 1 3 -5 7
8 Livingston 7 1 4 2 -6 7
9 Kilmarnock 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Dundee 6 1 3 2 -3 6
11 Aberdeen 6 1 2 3 -2 5
12 ST Johnstone 7 0 3 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock St Mirren
1–0 B. Lyons
19′
31′
K. Magennis 2–0
own goal
D. Watson 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
34′
Innes Cameron 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
55′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
64′
🔁 T. Small
↦ C. McMenamin
A. Dallas 🔁
↦ I. Cameron
67′
70′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ M. Mandron
72′
🟨 Ryan Strain
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ B. Lyons
78′
83′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ G. Kiltie
85′
🟨 Toyosi Olusanya
David Watson 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-1-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
8 B. Lyons M
11 D. Armstrong M
16 K. Magennis M
10 M. Kennedy M
3 C. Ndaba M
9 K. Vassell F
18 I. Cameron F
Bench (9)
12 D. Watson
21 A. Dallas
31 L. Polworth
6 R. Deas
19 T. Davies
22 L. Donnelly
20 K. O'Hara
15 F. Murray
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
16 T. Small
20 T. Olusanya
21 A. Greive
19 S. Nahmani
27 P. Urminský
8 R. Flynn
5 R. Taylor
2 J. Bolton
15 C. Boyd-Munce

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U ✓
3,26
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.