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Süper Lig
Referee: Z Kucuk
Kocaelispor
T
0–1
Full-time
Samsunspor
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,71 xG 0,73
39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Kocaelispor Samsunspor
33′
🟨 Celil Yüksel
Bruno Petković ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
39′
Samet Yalçın ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
43′
Samet Yalçın 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
M. Tunali 🔁
↦ O. Caglayan
46′
46′
🔁 A. Makoumbou
↦ C. Yuksel
Show 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 A. Muja
↦ L. Dimata
69′
🔁 S. Aydogdu
↦ C. Holse
77′
🔁 S. Gonul
↦ E. Kilinc
Joseph Nonge 🟨
81′
82′
⚽ A. Jovanovic 1–0
own goal
85′
🟨 Antoine Makoumbou
C. Keles 🔁
↦ J. Nonge
86′
D. Agyei 🔁
↦ A. Oguz
86′
92′
🔁 Y. E. Cift
↦ Marius
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kocaelispor

4-3-3
1 A. Jovanovic G
22 A. Oguz D
2 A. Dijksteel D
5 A. Appindangoye D
21 M. Haidara D
23 S. Yalcin M
14 Show M
98 J. Nonge M
17 O. Caglayan F
9 B. Petkovic F
20 R. Mendes F
Bench (10)
35 G. Degirmenci
18 F. Gedik
15 T. Serbest
8 C. Celik
41 O. Oztonga
70 C. Keles
27 E. Bilim
3 M. Cinan
7 D. Agyei
45 M. Tunali

Coach: Selcuk Inan

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 L. Satka D
4 R. Van Drongelen D
17 L. Tomasson D
5 C. Yuksel M
10 O. Ntcham M
14 L. Dimata M
21 C. Holse M
11 E. Kilinc M
9 Marius
Bench (10)
33 E. Ustun
2 J. Mendes
7 A. Muja
8 S. Aydogdu
22 P. Yaldir
28 S. Gonul
29 A. Makoumbou
55 Y. E. Cift
96 B. Cetin
48 E. B. Toruz

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B ✓
2,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,02
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Z Kucuk · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.