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Süper Lig
Referee: M Türkmen
Samsunspor
T U S T U
2–1
Full-time
Trabzonspor
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
56%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 51%
38%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,33 xG 0,54
36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Trabzonspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 17 15 2 0 +29 +17.4 47
2 Fenerbahce 16 11 3 2 +25 +17.6 36
3 Samsunspor 16 9 3 4 +12 +9.6 30
4 Eyüpspor 18 8 6 4 +10 -1.3 30
5 Goztep 17 8 4 5 +9 +5.1 28
6 Besiktas 17 7 6 4 +7 +5.9 27
7 Buyuksehyr 17 7 5 5 +5 +6.9 26
8 Gaziantep 16 6 3 7 -2 -3.7 21
9 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -2 +1.5 21
10 Rizespor 17 6 3 8 -9 +4.3 21
11 Antalyaspor 17 6 3 8 -11 -10.6 21
12 Kasimpasa 16 4 8 4 -1 -1.8 20
13 Konyaspor 17 5 5 7 -6 -6.4 20
14 Trabzonspor 16 4 7 5 +2 -2.2 19
15 Sivasspor 17 5 4 8 -7 -13.1 19
16 Kayserispor 16 3 6 7 -16 -7.5 15
17 Bodrumspor 16 4 2 10 -10 -4.4 14
18 Hatayspor 16 1 6 9 -13 -7.0 9
19 Ad. Demirspor 17 2 2 13 -22 -10.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Samsunspor Trabzonspor
22′
🟨 Ozan Tufan
1–0 C. Holse
Y. Bennasser
30′
Emre Kılınç 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
49′
S. Banza 1–1
M. Cham
A. Muja 🔁
↦ K. Schindler
69′
73′
🔁 U. Güneş
↦ C. Çanak
2–1 C. Holse
M. Mouandilmadji
75′
77′
🔁 E. Destan
↦ O. Tufan
M. Bola 🔁
↦ E. Kılınç
86′
S. Aydoğdu 🔁
↦ C. Yüksel
91′
91′
🔁 A. Boşluk
↦ E. Elmalı
91′
🔁 P. Yıldırım
↦ M. Cham
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
55 Y. Çift D
28 S. Gönül D
6 Y. Bennasser M
5 C. Yüksel M
17 K. Schindler M
21 C. Holse M
11 E. Kılınç M
9 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (10)
7 A. Muja
16 M. Bola
8 S. Aydoğdu
29 E. Kara
77 E. Albak
20 M. Özbaskıcı
66 A. Tarkan
96 B. Çetin
45 H. Yeral
72 H. Tan

Coach: T. Reis

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
79 Pedro Malheiro D
29 S. Saatçı D
44 A. Batahov D
18 E. Elmalı D
5 J. Lundstram M
11 O. Tufan M
61 C. Çanak M
10 M. Cham M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
17 S. Banza F
Bench (10)
23 U. Güneş
94 E. Destan
77 A. Boşluk
90 P. Yıldırım
3 B. Barišić
20 S. Asan
54 T. Tepe
84 A. Yılmaz
25 O. Çevikkan
74 S. Malkoçoğlu

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,56
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Türkmen · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.