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Super League

Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis

AEK

U S S U S

5–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,5

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

3,3

2,5

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,53 xG 0,40

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	2	1	0	+9	+1.0	7
2	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+2	+5.0	7
3	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.9	6
4	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.7	6
6	Aris	3	2	0	1	-3	–	6
7	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
8	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.1	3
9	Volos NFC	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
10	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
12	Atromitos	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0
13	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
14	Kalamata	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.7	0
15	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	2	2	0	0	+9	+1.7	6
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
4	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
8	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
9	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
10	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
12	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
13	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
3	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
4	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Aris	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
6	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
7	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
8	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
9	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
10	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
11	Kalamata	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
12	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.