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Super League

Referee: C Vergetis

Aris Thessalonikis

U S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Levadeiakos

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Levadeiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/35 matches

Win Ø 38%

32%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

32%

63%

Both score Ø 56%

52%

60%

Average goals

2,0

3,4

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,62 xG 1,00

59% Possession 41%

21 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 1

10 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 0

5 Offside 0

23 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · Levadeiakos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	33	22	9	2	+38	+13.7	75
2	Olympiakos	33	20	9	4	+35	+16.6	69
3	PAOK	33	19	10	4	+36	+4.2	67
4	Levadeiakos	35	15	10	10	+16	-2.2	55
5	Panathinaikos	33	15	10	8	+16	+2.9	55
6	Aris	32	11	13	8	+2	–	46
7	Atromitos	37	11	11	15	+0	+0.0	44
8	Aris Thessalonikis	31	10	13	8	-1	+0.0	43
9	OFI Crete	35	13	3	19	-13	-8.9	42
10	Kifisia	37	8	15	14	-13	+1.5	39
11	Panetolikos	37	10	9	18	-14	-5.4	39
12	Asteras Tripolis	37	7	13	17	-15	-1.4	34
13	Larisa	37	6	15	16	-21	-8.9	33
14	Volos NFC	35	9	6	20	-24	-4.2	33
15	Panserraikos	37	7	10	20	-42	-7.9	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PAOK	17	13	4	0	+28	+4.8	43
2	AEK	16	14	1	1	+25	+9.3	43
3	Olympiakos	17	11	4	2	+20	+8.1	37
4	Levadeiakos	18	10	5	3	+21	+1.0	35
5	Panathinaikos	16	9	5	2	+15	+1.8	32
6	Aris	16	5	9	2	+5	–	24
7	OFI Crete	17	8	0	9	+4	-2.9	24
8	Asteras Tripolis	19	6	6	7	+2	+2.7	24
9	Aris Thessalonikis	15	4	9	2	+2	+4.2	21
10	Volos NFC	18	5	6	7	-8	+1.6	21
11	Larisa	19	4	8	7	-9	-0.8	20
12	Atromitos	18	4	6	8	-4	+0.9	18
13	Kifisia	18	4	6	8	-6	+2.6	18
14	Panetolikos	18	4	3	11	-11	+0.2	15
15	Panserraikos	19	3	6	10	-21	-5.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	9	5	2	+15	+8.5	32
2	AEK	17	8	8	1	+13	+4.3	32
3	Atromitos	19	7	5	7	+4	-0.9	26
4	PAOK	16	6	6	4	+8	-0.7	24
5	Panetolikos	19	6	6	7	-3	-5.6	24
6	Panathinaikos	17	6	5	6	+1	+1.1	23
7	Aris Thessalonikis	16	6	4	6	-3	-4.2	22
8	Aris	16	6	4	6	-3	–	22
9	Kifisia	19	4	9	6	-7	-1.1	21
10	Levadeiakos	17	5	5	7	-5	-3.2	20
11	OFI Crete	18	5	3	10	-17	-6.1	18
12	Panserraikos	18	4	4	10	-21	-2.4	16
13	Larisa	18	2	7	9	-12	-8.1	13
14	Volos NFC	17	4	0	13	-16	-5.8	12
15	Asteras Tripolis	18	1	7	10	-17	-4.1	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.