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Taça de Portugal

Silves

T S

2–1

Full-time

Louletano

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silves Louletano

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/5 matches

Win Ø 55%

50%

60%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

100%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

100%

20%

Average goals

6,5

2,6

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

3,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,4

This season — Taça de Portugal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

Scored

3,0

5,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Silves 50. · Louletano 36. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espinho	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Alpendorada	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Vila Real	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Fafe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	AD Marco 09	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
19	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
20	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
21	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
22	União de Leiria	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Gouveia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Torreense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
26	SC Covilha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Mortágua	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
31	AVS	1	1	0	0	+7	3
32	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
33	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
34	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
35	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
36	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
37	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
38	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
39	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
40	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
41	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	3
42	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
46	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
53	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Uniao Nogueirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Monção	2	1	0	1	-1	3
69	Machico	2	1	0	1	-1	3
70	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
71	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
72	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
73	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
74	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
81	Charneca Caparica	2	0	1	1	-2	1
82	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
130	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
131	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
132	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
133	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
134	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
135	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
136	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
137	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
138	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
139	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
140	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
141	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
142	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
143	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alpendorada	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Espinho	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
14	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	SC Covilha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	AD Marco 09	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
43	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
44	União de Leiria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Torreense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
50	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Monção	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	AVS	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
11	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
39	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Gouveia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	FC Serpa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Charneca Caparica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
86	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
89	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
90	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
91	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Silves Louletano

5′

🟨

15′

38′

⚽ Chima 0–1

Half-time 1–1

1–1 R. Co ⚽

52′

65′

🔁 Guilherme Campos

↦ T. Palma

65′

🔁 R. Mendes

↦ R. Leal

P. Szostak 🔁

↦ J. Correia

68′

L. Tavares 🔁

↦ Raphael Senna

68′

75′

🔁 Tomas Couto

↦ R. Vilela

90′

🔁 T. Paixao

↦ N. Martelo

P. Recatia 🔁

↦ Semedo

92′

🟨

92′

99′

🟨

99′

🔁 Daniel Paulino

↦ Chima

105′

🔁 Y. Marinho

↦ S. Lemes

A. Galvao 🔁

↦ M. Boonstoppel

120′

2–1 L. Tavares ⚽

120′

🟨

122′

🟨

125′

🟨

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Silves

98 K. Lopes

69 Raphael Senna

66 Semedo

23 E. Oliveira

21 J. Correia

11 K. Ramirez

8 M. Boonstoppel

7 J. M. Rocha Silva

5 Mateus Vieira

4 R. Co

2 L. Gomes

Bench (8)

88 P. Recatia

38 P. Goncalves

31 A. Galvao

30 P. Szostak

26 L. Tavares

24 R. de Vreeden

9 M. Calado

22 Alemao

Louletano

71 Marcao

23 L. Pinheiro

40 T. Cavadas

3 V. Santana

27 N. Martelo

8 S. Lemes

22 R. Leal

38 T. Palma

17 L. Ferreira

7 R. Vilela

11 Chima

Bench (9)

12 J. Farrajota

5 M. Laginha

9 Daniel Paulino

10 Tomas Couto

20 Y. Marinho

21 Guilherme Campos

26 R. Mendes

30 Diogo Machado

74 T. Paixao

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

21. Sep TP 1 year ago

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Silves

Louletano

Odds comparison

Recent matches