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Taça de Portugal

Lajense

S T

0–1

Full-time

Maria da Fonte

T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lajense Maria da Fonte

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anadia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Cinfães	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Academica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Ferreira Zêzere	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Guarda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Moura	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
40	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Estrela Vendas Novas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Operário	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Régua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.