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Serie B

Padova

S T S U T

1–0

Full-time

Ascoli

S T S U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Padova Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Padova 14. · Ascoli 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.0	9
2	Mantova	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.3	7
4	Ascoli	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.9	7
5	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.7	6
6	Avellino	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.6	6
7	Pisa	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
8	Empoli	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
9	Arezzo	4	2	0	2	-4	-0.0	6
10	Cesena	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.3	5
11	Verona	4	1	1	2	+2	+2.5	4
12	Virtus Entella	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.2	4
13	Benevento	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
14	Padova	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
15	Vicenza	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.2	4
16	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
17	Juve Stabia	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.7	3
18	Carrarese	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
2	Sudtirol	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.4	6
3	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.2	4
4	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
5	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
6	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
8	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
9	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
11	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.3	3
12	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
13	Padova	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
14	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
15	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Arezzo	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.8	6
3	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
5	Virtus Entella	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
6	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
8	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Padova	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
13	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
14	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.7	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
17	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
19	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.