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Coppa Italia

Referee: M Perri

Genoa

T U U T T

4–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%

24 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Monza	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Catania	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ravenna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Potenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Union Brescia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	1	1	0	+3	3
2	Frosinone	1	1	0	+3	3
3	Monza	1	1	0	+3	3
4	Benevento	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Ascoli	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Arezzo	1	1	0	+2	3
8	Venezia	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Udinese	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	+1	3
11	Torino	1	1	0	+1	3
12	Catanzaro	1	0	1	+0	1
13	Vicenza	1	0	1	+0	1

#	Team	K	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sudtirol	1	1	0	+0	1
2	Catania	2	1	1	-2	1
3	Modena	1	0	1	-1	0
4	Padova	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Arezzo	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Carrarese	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Ravenna	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Potenza	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Union Brescia	1	0	1	-2	0
10	Benevento	1	0	1	-3	0
11	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	-3	0
12	Avellino	1	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.