Serie B
Referee: Mattia Drigo
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Avellino
Arezzo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
0,69
xG
1,51
60%
Possession
40%
11
Shots
16
3
Shots on target
3
3
Blocked shots
5
1
Goalkeeper saves
2
4
Corners
2
0
Offside
2
11
Free kicks against
16
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Line-ups
Avellino
4-2-3-1
50
T. Martinelli
G
T. Martinelli
G
29
T. Cancellotti
D
T. Cancellotti
D
4
A. Izzo
D
A. Izzo
D
44
L. Simic
D
L. Simic
D
27
B. Moruzzi
D
B. Moruzzi
D
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
39
M. Besaggio
M
M. Besaggio
M
20
M. Palumbo
M
M. Palumbo
M
14
T. Biasci
M
T. Biasci
M
10
R. Russo
M
R. Russo
M
11
D. Fila
F
D. Fila
F
Bench (12)
1
A. Iannarilli
22
J. Sassi
3
M. Sala
56
P. Enrici
63
A. Fontanarosa
24
D. Sounas
23
M. Venturi
16
G. Faticanti
8
L. Di Maggio
18
T. Berenbruch
99
A. Favilli
7
L. Pandolfi
Coach: Alessandro Nesta
Arezzo
4-4-2
14
A. Nunziante
G
A. Nunziante
G
6
A. Renzi
D
A. Renzi
D
13
M. Gilli
D
M. Gilli
D
5
J. Illanes
D
J. Illanes
D
37
S. Righetti
D
S. Righetti
D
16
M. Sala
M
M. Sala
M
78
G. Iaccarino
M
G. Iaccarino
M
17
A. Ionita
M
A. Ionita
M
21
C. Tavernelli
M
C. Tavernelli
M
30
A. Arena
F
A. Arena
F
71
P. Cianci
F
P. Cianci
F
Bench (12)
90
A. Seculin
22
F. Serban
4
M. Coppolaro
32
A. Cagnano
2
M. Mena
23
M. Viviani
8
S. M. Eklu
24
L. Chierico
7
K. Leone
11
M. Varela Djamanca
10
E. Pattarello
29
G. Cipriani
Coach: Cristian Bucchi
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.