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Serie B

Catanzaro

S U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Carrarese

T T T U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Carrarese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 20. · Carrarese 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Palermo	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.0	9
2	Sudtirol	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.3	8
3	Modena	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
4	Mantova	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
5	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.9	7
6	Padova	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.1	7
7	Avellino	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.6	6
8	Pisa	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.3	6
9	Empoli	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
10	Arezzo	4	2	0	2	-4	-0.0	6
11	Cesena	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.3	5
12	Vicenza	4	1	2	1	-2	-0.2	5
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	+2	+2.5	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.2	4
15	Benevento	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
16	Juve Stabia	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.7	4
17	Cremonese	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
18	Carrarese	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.2	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sudtirol	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Palermo	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.2	6
3	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.2	4
4	Vicenza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.0	4
5	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
6	Padova	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
7	Verona	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.8	3
8	Avellino	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.6	3
9	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
10	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
11	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
12	Pisa	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.3	3
13	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
14	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
15	Arezzo	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
18	Carrarese	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.7	7
2	Arezzo	3	2	0	1	-3	+0.8	6
3	Mantova	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Juve Stabia	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
5	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
6	Virtus Entella	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
7	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
11	Padova	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.8	3
13	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
14	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.7	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
17	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
18	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
19	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
20	Catanzaro	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.