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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adi Aganovic
Degerfors
U T U T S
0–1
Full-time
AIK
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
20%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
65%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
45%
35%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,50 xG 1,21
41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 15. · AIK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 20 14 5 1 +23 +1.7 47
2 Hammarby 21 13 3 5 +17 +12.6 42
3 Malmo FF 20 10 6 4 +16 +12.4 36
4 Elfsborg 20 11 3 6 +9 +2.4 36
5 GAIS 20 9 8 3 +14 +10.4 35
6 AIK 20 9 7 4 +7 +5.8 34
7 Goteborg 20 11 1 8 +3 +0.1 34
8 Djurgarden 21 8 7 6 +4 +5.8 31
9 Brommapojkarna 21 7 2 12 -3 -2.2 23
10 Sirius 21 6 5 10 -3 -2.1 23
11 Hacken 20 6 5 9 -9 +3.1 23
12 Norrkoping 20 6 4 10 -7 -8.9 22
13 Oster 20 4 6 10 -9 -11.5 18
14 Halmstad 20 5 3 12 -25 -13.9 18
15 Degerfors 20 4 3 13 -22 -3.8 15
16 Varnamo 20 2 6 12 -15 -12.0 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors AIK
11′
B. Celina 0–1
T. Isherwood
Christos Gravius 🟨
27′
Philippe Ndinga 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
N. Moro 🔁
↦ M. Godinho
46′
R. Omorowa 🔁
↦ E. Barsoum
46′
60′
🟨 Eskil Edh
H. Smedberg 🔁
↦ B. Morgado
60′
71′
🔁 K. Karlsson
↦ T. Ayari
A. Fisic 🔁
↦ M. Rafferty
75′
75′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ E. Flataker
75′
🔁 A. Ali
↦ B. Celina
93′
🔁 A. Fesshaie
↦ D. Besirovic
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Degerfors

3-4-3
26 M. Igonen G
6 D. Sundgren D
30 B. Morgado D
4 L. Hien D
16 S. Ohlsson M
11 C. Gravius M
39 P. Ndinga M
28 M. Godinho M
20 E. Barsoum F
17 A. Taranis F
10 M. Rafferty F
Bench (8)
1 W. Jakobsson
9 A. Fisic
15 N. Moro
19 R. Omorowa
24 H. Smedberg
27 Z. Salifu
29 V. Tigerholm
5 J. Pikkarainen

Coach: Henok Goitom

AIK

4-3-3
15 K. Nordfeldt G
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
2 E. Edh D
17 M. Thychosen M
7 A. Saletros M
19 D. Besirovic M
45 T. Ayari F
20 E. Flataker F
10 B. Celina F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
5 K. Karlsson
11 J. Guidetti
14 F. Nissen
16 B. Tiedemann
18 A. Ali
22 A. Helm
36 Z. Yohanna
47 A. Fesshaie

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adi Aganovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.