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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ladebäck
AIK
U S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Sirius
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
43%
29%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
23 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 2. · Sirius 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 7 6 0 1 +15 +6.8 18
2 AIK 7 4 2 1 +4 -2.2 14
3 Djurgarden 7 4 1 2 +5 +1.2 13
4 Hacken 7 4 1 2 +4 -1.4 13
5 GAIS 7 4 0 3 -2 +0.4 12
6 Halmstad 7 4 0 3 -3 -3.6 12
7 Mjallby 7 3 2 2 +3 +1.0 11
8 Elfsborg 7 3 1 3 -1 +2.5 10
9 Norrkoping 7 3 1 3 -7 -4.1 10
10 Brommapojkarna 7 2 3 2 +2 +2.5 9
11 Hammarby 7 3 0 4 +1 +1.0 9
12 Goteborg 7 2 1 4 -2 -0.8 7
13 Sirius 7 2 1 4 -4 +2.0 7
14 Varnamo 7 2 1 4 -7 -4.5 7
15 Kalmar 7 2 0 5 -2 -2.9 6
16 Vasteras SK 7 1 0 6 -6 +2.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Jul -23 Sirius – AIK 0–1 29. Apr -23 AIK – Sirius 0–0 2. Oct -22 Sirius – AIK 1–1 21. May -22 AIK – Sirius 2–2 4. Dec -21 AIK – Sirius 4–2

Match report

AIK Sirius
25′
⚽ N. Milleskog 0–1
Y. Salech
Half-time 0–2
53′
⚽ Y. Salech 0–2
M. Heier
61′
🔁 P. Nwadike
↦ M. Jeng
63′
⚽ Y. Salech 0–3
V. Andersson 🔁
↦ D. Beširović
66′
E. Gono 🔁
↦ I. Coulibaly
67′
71′
🔁 M. Lindberg
↦ M. Heier
72′
🔁 A. Murbeck
↦ H. Sjögrell
T. Ayari 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
85′
Lamine Dabo 🔁
↦ A. Salétros
86′
90′
🔁 F. Olsson
↦ L. Walta
90′
🔁 M. Martin
↦ N. Milleskog
Lamine Dabo 🟨
91′
95′
🟨 Jakob Voelkerling Persson
1–3 B. Celina ⚽
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
16 B. Hansen D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
12 A. Björnström D
32 Rui Modesto M
7 A. Salétros M
8 I. Coulibaly M
10 B. Celina M
19 D. Beširović F
28 I. Pittas F
Bench (9)
43 V. Andersson
31 E. Gono
45 T. Ayari
24 Lamine Dabo
37 Ahmad Faqa
30 I. Diawara
44 L. Järeteg
14 A. Stoch Rydell
34 E. Ring

Coach: H. Berg

Sirius

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov Nilsson G
13 J. Voelkerling Persson D
4 H. Castegren D
31 M. Jeng D
21 D. Widgren D
14 L. Walta M
18 A. Vikman M
16 H. Sjögrell M
10 M. Heier M
19 N. Milleskog M
9 Y. Salech F
Bench (9)
2 P. Nwadike
17 M. Lindberg
15 A. Murbeck
11 F. Olsson
6 M. Martin
36 A. Ljungberg
30 J. Tånnander
20 V. Ekström
22 André Al Sanati

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Ladebäck · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.