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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Grenoble
U U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Caen
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,6
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 14. · Caen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 9 5 2 2 +8 17
2 Sochaux 8 5 1 2 +10 16
3 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Le Havre 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 Caen 8 4 3 1 +6 15
6 Amiens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Valenciennes 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Metz 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Dijon 9 3 2 4 -3 11
10 St Etienne 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Paris FC 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 Bastia 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Annecy 8 2 3 3 +0 9
14 Grenoble 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Laval 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Quevilly Rouen 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Niort 8 2 1 5 -7 7
19 Pau FC 8 1 4 3 -7 7
20 Rodez 7 1 3 3 -5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grenoble Caen
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
22′
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟨
37′
Gaëtan Paquiez 🟥
37′
Half-time 0–0
Pape Meissa Ba 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 C. Zady Sery
↦ B. Brahimi
64′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ J. Obiang
1–0 J. Tell
S. Touray
66′
71′
🟨 Romain Thomas
F. Michel 🔁
↦ S. Touray
72′
72′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ A. Teikeu
M. Phaëton 🔁
↦ P. Ba
73′
L. Néry 🔁
↦ J. Tell
82′
86′
🔁 N. Bassette
↦ S. Essende
J. Jeno 🔁
↦ A. Ngando
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Grenoble

3-1-4-2
1 B. Maubleu G
66 M. Diarra D
5 A. Monfray D
21 A. Tchaptchet D
6 F. Bambock M
12 J. Gaspar M
70 S. Touray M
23 A. Ngando M
29 G. Paquiez M
97 J. Tell F
28 P. Ba F
Bench (7)
10 F. Michel
19 M. Phaëton
17 L. Néry
15 J. Jeno
30 E. Salles
35 O. Inikurogha
80 J. Correa

Coach: V. Hognon

Caen

5-3-2
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
4 A. Teikeu D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
23 J. Obiang D
21 B. Brahimi M
28 D. Diani M
8 J. Deminguet M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
99 S. Essende F
Bench (7)
10 C. Zady Sery
17 G. Kyeremeh
20 N. Lebreton
77 N. Bassette
16 Y. Clementia
22 B. Traoré
25 L. Sy

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,23
U
3,05
B
2,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.