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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Le Havre
T U S U S
2–1
Full-time
Caen
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 8. · Caen 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 3 3 0 +5 12
2 Bordeaux 6 3 2 1 +7 11
3 Dijon 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Amiens 6 3 2 1 +1 11
5 Metz 6 3 1 2 +6 10
6 Sochaux 6 3 1 2 +5 10
7 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Le Havre 6 2 3 1 +7 9
9 Valenciennes 6 2 3 1 +0 9
10 Grenoble 6 2 3 1 -1 9
11 Paris FC 6 1 4 1 +0 7
12 Laval 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Nimes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
14 St Etienne 6 1 3 2 -2 6
15 Quevilly Rouen 6 1 3 2 -4 6
16 Bastia 6 2 0 4 -5 6
17 Niort 6 2 0 4 -6 6
18 Annecy 6 1 2 3 -1 5
19 Rodez 6 1 2 3 -5 5
20 Pau FC 6 0 3 3 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Le Havre Caen
6′
🟨 Romain Thomas
1–0 V. Lekhal
7′
Gautier Lloris 🟨
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Alexandre Mendy
46′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ H. Mbock
Yann Kitala 🟨
48′
Arouna Sangante 🟨
56′
J. Thiaré 🔁
↦ Y. Kitala
59′
Q. Cornette 🔁
↦ N. Alioui
59′
A. Confais 🔁
↦ N. Mbemba
65′
67′
🔁 C. Zady Sery
↦ A. Teikeu
2–0 J. Thiaré
76′
77′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ Q. Daubin
77′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ Alexandre Mendy
E. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ Y. Kechta
87′
A. Samoura 🔁
↦ J. Casimir
88′
88′
🔁 I. Mohamed
↦ D. Diani
91′
G. Kyeremeh 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
18 N. Mbemba M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
23 J. Casimir F
9 Y. Kitala F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thiaré
11 Q. Cornette
25 A. Confais
28 E. Mahmoud
7 A. Samoura
5 Z. Diallo
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Caen

5-3-2
1 A. Mandréa G
24 H. Vandermersch D
4 A. Teikeu D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
23 J. Obiang D
6 Q. Daubin M
28 D. Diani M
18 H. Mbock M
21 B. Brahimi F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
10 C. Zady Sery
20 N. Lebreton
9 B. Jeannot
26 I. Mohamed
16 Y. Clementia
22 B. Traoré

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,07
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.