Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Caen
Grenoble
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lorient
|
26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | +22 | 54 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | +15 | 48 |
| 3 |
Lens
|
26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | +12 | 47 |
| 4 |
Troyes
|
26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | +7 | 47 |
| 5 |
Clermont
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Guingamp
|
26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 39 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |
Valenciennes
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 38 |
| 9 |
Grenoble
|
26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | +2 | 35 |
| 10 |
Nancy
|
26 | 6 | 15 | 5 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |
Sochaux
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 33 |
| 12 |
Auxerre
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 31 |
| 13 |
Caen
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Chambly | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 |
Chateauroux
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 |
Rodez
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 28 |
| 17 |
Paris FC
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -16 | 27 |
| 18 |
Niort
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -9 | 25 |
| 19 |
Le Mans
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 22 |
| 20 |
Orleans
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -19 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lens
Caen
Caen
Troyes
Le Havre
Caen
Caen
Niort
Caen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.