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2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Nurnberg

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

45%

Both score Ø 46%

55%

36%

Average goals

3,5

2,1

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 7. · Nurnberg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	11	8	1	2	+17	25
2	Regensburg	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Schalke 04	11	7	1	3	+9	22
4	Nurnberg	11	5	6	0	+9	21
5	Paderborn	11	5	3	3	+9	18
6	Hamburg	11	4	6	1	+5	18
7	Darmstadt	11	5	2	4	+11	17
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Werder Bremen	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Heidenheim	11	4	3	4	-5	15
12	Dresden	11	4	1	6	-2	13
13	Hansa Rostock	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Hannover	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Holstein Kiel	11	2	4	5	-10	10
16	Sandhausen	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	11	1	4	6	-10	7
18	Ingolstadt	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
2	Regensburg	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Nurnberg	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Darmstadt	5	4	0	1	+11	12
5	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Dresden	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Hamburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Hannover	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	-1	5
14	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Ingolstadt	5	0	2	3	-5	2
18	Sandhausen	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Schalke 04	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Hamburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	-2	8
8	St Pauli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Nurnberg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Holstein Kiel	5	1	3	1	-2	6
13	Heidenheim	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	+0	5
15	Hannover	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Dresden	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Ingolstadt	6	1	0	5	-13	3
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	2	3	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.