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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Sather
Nurnberg
U T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Bielefeld
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
29%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
43%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Bielefeld 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 7 5 1 1 +13 16
2 Hamburg 7 5 0 2 +6 15
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 +7 14
4 Darmstadt 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Hannover 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 +3 12
7 Holstein Kiel 7 3 3 1 +0 12
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Karlsruhe 7 3 1 3 +2 10
10 St Pauli 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Hansa Rostock 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Regensburg 7 2 2 3 -6 8
13 Sandhausen 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Nurnberg 7 2 1 4 -5 7
15 Bielefeld 7 1 2 4 -4 5
16 Greuther Furth 7 0 4 3 -5 4
17 Magdeburg 7 1 1 5 -9 4
18 Braunschweig 7 1 1 5 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Bielefeld
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Guilherme Ramos
Kwadwo Duah ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
58′
🔁 J. Serra
↦ B. Lasme
58′
🔁 M. Rzatkowski
↦ M. Klimowicz
C. Daferner 🔁
↦ F. Lohkemper
71′
71′
🔁 A. Andrade
↦ Guilherme Ramos
M. Wintzheimer 🔁
↦ J. Castrop
77′
87′
🔁 F. Jäkel
↦ M. Okugawa
87′
🔁 G. Bello
↦ B. Oczipka
Erik Wekesser 🟨
89′
1–0 L. Tempelmann
M. Dæhli
90′
F. Hübner 🔁
↦ K. Duah
91′
93′
🟨 Marc Rzatkowski
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
16 C. Schindler D
4 J. Lawrence D
13 E. Wekesser D
3 S. Fofana M
6 L. Tempelmann M
17 J. Castrop M
10 M. Dæhli M
7 F. Lohkemper M
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
33 C. Daferner
18 M. Wintzheimer
19 F. Hübner
37 N. Jahn
1 C. Klaus
11 E. Shuranov
28 J. Gyamerah
5 J. Geis
35 N. Brown

Coach: R. Klauß

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
33 M. Fraisl G
2 L. Klünter D
6 O. Hüsing D
3 Guilherme Ramos D
5 B. Oczipka D
13 I. Lepinjica M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
21 R. Hack M
8 M. Klimowicz M
11 M. Okugawa M
10 B. Lasme F
Bench (9)
23 J. Serra
16 M. Rzatkowski
30 A. Andrade
4 F. Jäkel
24 G. Bello
35 A. Schulz
22 S. Sidler
14 J. Consbruch
37 B. Kanurić

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,49
B
3,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sather · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.