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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Molde

T S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Tromso

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 48%

39%

56%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

56%

61%

Both score Ø 53%

39%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,80 xG 0,65

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

12 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 10. · Tromso 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	13	3	3	+32	+30.0	42
2	Viking	19	13	3	3	+21	+17.2	42
3	Brann	18	11	3	4	+7	+14.5	36
4	Tromso	18	10	3	5	+5	+5.0	33
5	Rosenborg	18	8	6	4	+3	+6.9	30
6	Sandefjord	18	9	1	8	+9	-4.3	28
7	KFUM Oslo	19	7	6	6	+9	+5.8	27
8	Valerenga	19	8	3	8	+1	-2.4	27
9	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
10	Molde	18	7	3	8	+2	+0.5	24
11	Sarpsborg 08	18	5	7	6	+0	+11.3	22
12	Ham-Kam	19	5	6	8	-10	-11.6	21
13	Bryne	19	5	5	9	-9	-3.6	20
14	Kristiansund	18	5	5	8	-13	-13.6	20
15	Stromsgodset	19	3	1	15	-21	-22.6	10
16	Haugesund	19	1	2	16	-39	-30.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	9	8	0	1	+19	+2.1	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+3	+6.2	16
8	KFUM Oslo	10	4	3	3	+7	+4.4	15
9	Bryne	10	4	3	3	-1	+4.7	15
10	Valerenga	9	4	2	3	+5	+1.2	14
11	Molde	9	4	1	4	+2	+5.3	13
12	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	-4	-4.7	12
13	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	3	3	+1	+4.2	9
14	Kristiansund	9	2	3	4	-5	-7.2	9
15	Haugesund	10	1	2	7	-19	-9.7	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	0	8	-14	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+14	+13.8	20
3	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+2	-1.2	17
4	Brann	9	5	1	3	+1	+5.4	16
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	4	3	-1	+7.0	13
6	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.6	13
7	KFUM Oslo	9	3	3	3	+2	+1.5	12
8	Molde	9	3	2	4	+0	-4.8	11
9	Rosenborg	9	3	2	4	-7	-2.5	11
10	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
11	Ham-Kam	10	2	3	5	-6	-6.9	9
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	10	2	1	7	-7	-12.9	7
14	Bryne	9	1	2	6	-8	-8.3	5
15	Sandefjord	9	1	1	7	-10	-6.4	4
16	Haugesund	9	0	0	9	-20	-20.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.