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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Stromsgodset
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Molde
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
38%
57%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
38%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,73 xG 1,60
37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 10. · Molde 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 21 15 3 3 +20 +5.4 48
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 14 4 3 +26 +10.9 46
3 Tromso 21 14 3 4 +11 +4.1 45
4 Molde 21 12 4 5 +24 +13.0 40
5 Brann 21 12 3 6 +13 +0.9 39
6 Sarpsborg 08 22 10 3 9 +5 +0.9 33
7 Lillestrom 21 10 3 8 +4 +5.3 33
8 Rosenborg 22 8 5 9 -3 +1.7 29
9 Odd 22 8 5 9 -3 -1.4 29
10 Stromsgodset 21 8 2 11 -3 -3.2 26
11 Ham-Kam 21 7 2 12 -15 -10.2 23
12 Valerenga 21 5 6 10 -6 -4.6 21
13 Sandefjord 21 5 6 10 -8 -10.7 21
14 Haugesund 22 5 5 12 -14 -7.4 20
15 Stabaek 21 4 5 12 -15 -3.6 17
16 Aalesund 23 3 3 17 -36 -1.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Molde
1–0 E. Melkersen
T. Grøgaard
8′
39′
M. Eikrem 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Løvik
↦ M. Linnes
46′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
J. Ekeland 🔁
↦ H. Stenevik
74′
K. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ E. Danso
74′
S. Hanssen 🔁
↦ A. Leifsson
74′
74′
🔁 M. Kaasa
↦ E. Hestad
74′
🔁 E. Kitolano
↦ M. Eikrem
J. Therkelsen 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
82′
Kreshnik Krasniqi 🟨
83′
M. Mehnert 🔁
↦ E. Melkersen
83′
84′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ K. Eriksen
Herman Stengel 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Mathias Fjortoft Lovik
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

5-4-1
1 V. Myhra G
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 B. Sørmo D
71 G. Valsvik D
2 A. Leifsson D
4 T. Grøgaard D
7 H. Stenevik M
10 H. Stengel M
20 E. Danso M
23 E. Andersen M
9 E. Melkersen F
Bench (9)
11 J. Ekeland
8 K. Krasniqi
3 S. Hanssen
22 J. Therkelsen
77 M. Mehnert
17 L. Tómasson
14 O. Enersen
40 M. Sætra
21 M. Farji

Coach: J. Isnes

Molde

3-5-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
19 E. Haugan D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
6 M. Ellingsen D
21 M. Linnes M
5 E. Hestad M
16 E. Breivik M
20 K. Eriksen M
28 K. Haugen M
7 M. Eikrem F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (9)
31 M. Løvik
9 V. Berisha
15 M. Kaasa
10 E. Kitolano
22 M. Grødem
12 O. Petersen
3 C. Øyvann
25 A. Hagelskjær
33 N. Ødegård

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.