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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

For Sittard

U S T S S

1–5

Full-time

Ajax

U S S S T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

5,0

Scored

1,8

3,0

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 55%

60%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

80%

75%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 27

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 11

2 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 6. · Ajax 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	+11	+7.1	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+12	+9.1	13
3	Twente	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.9	13
4	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+6	+7.8	11
5	Excelsior	5	3	1	1	+7	+2.4	10
6	For Sittard	5	3	1	1	+2	-6.5	10
7	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.2	9
8	Groningen	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.9	8
9	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.6	7
10	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.5	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.9	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-2	-2.6	5
13	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.6	4
14	Telstar	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.5	4
15	Utrecht	5	0	2	3	-9	-3.0	2
16	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-9	-2.9	2
17	Den Haag	6	0	1	5	-10	-6.2	1
18	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	-12	-6.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.4	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.4	7
3	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	+5	+0.9	7
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.6	4
5	Groningen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
6	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	-4.5	3
7	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
9	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.6	2
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.7	2
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.6	1
12	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
13	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1
14	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
15	Utrecht	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
16	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.3	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.5	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.7	9
3	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.2	9
4	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.8	7
5	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.0	7
6	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.0	6
7	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.5	6
8	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	+3.5	4
9	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
10	Groningen	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.1	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
12	Telstar	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
13	Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
14	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.1	2
15	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
16	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.5	1
17	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.9	1
18	Den Haag	4	0	1	3	-6	-4.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.