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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
Ajax
S S T U U
4–1
Full-time
For Sittard
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
62%
64%
Both score Ø 75%
76%
73%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,18 xG 0,84
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 4. · For Sittard 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 19 2 2 +39 +23.3 59
2 Feyenoord 22 13 3 6 +20 +18.2 42
3 Nijmegen 22 12 5 5 +19 +8.4 41
4 Ajax 21 9 9 3 +11 +6.2 36
5 AZ Alkmaar 23 10 6 7 +2 +15.3 36
6 Sparta Rotterdam 22 11 3 8 -7 -2.5 36
7 Twente 22 8 10 4 +12 +23.6 34
8 Groningen 21 9 4 8 +3 +9.4 31
9 Heerenveen 21 7 6 8 -2 +10.8 27
10 Utrecht 21 7 5 9 +4 -2.5 26
11 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -5 -14.1 26
12 Zwolle 22 7 5 10 -14 -15.9 26
13 Excelsior 23 7 5 11 -14 -14.6 26
14 Volendam 23 6 6 11 -12 -19.0 24
15 Go Ahead Eagles 22 4 11 7 -5 -12.7 23
16 NAC Breda 23 4 7 12 -12 -7.8 19
17 Telstar 22 3 8 11 -12 -10.7 17
18 Heracles 23 5 2 16 -27 -15.5 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,06
B
7,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.