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La Liga

Referee: M Orellana

Ath Bilbao

T T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Elche

U U T T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 3

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Elche 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	+9.4	12
2	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.7	10
3	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+2	-0.6	10
4	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.1	9
5	Betis	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.4	9
6	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.7	8
7	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+3	-1.4	7
8	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.0	7
9	Santander	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.0	7
10	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	-2	-1.4	7
11	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-3	+2.9	7
12	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
13	Levante	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.6	4
15	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.1	4
16	Celta	5	0	3	2	-3	-4.0	3
17	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.2	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-6	-1.9	2
19	Elche	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.5	1
20	Valencia	5	0	1	4	-9	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
2	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
4	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
5	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.3	6
7	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
9	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
10	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
11	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
12	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
13	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.4	4
14	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
15	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
16	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+10	+3.7	6
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.8	4
3	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.1	3
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
6	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
7	Celta	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.5	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
11	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
12	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
13	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
14	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
15	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
16	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.0	0
18	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.