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Bundesliga

Referee: Sven Jablonski

Hoffenheim

S T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Stuttgart

T S T S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,3

Scored

2,0

2,3

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

5,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

20 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 16. · Stuttgart 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.6	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.6	6
4	Elversberg	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
5	Mainz	2	1	1	0	+5	+0.5	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.3	4
7	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.6	4
8	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.6	3
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.9	3
10	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.3	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.8	3
12	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.1	3
13	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
14	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.4	1
15	Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.4	1
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.1	0
17	M'gladbach	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.9	0
18	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.3	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
4	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.9	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
9	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
10	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
11	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
14	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
18	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
2	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
4	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Bayern Munich	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
12	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
13	Hamburg	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0
14	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
15	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
16	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.9	0
17	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.3	0
18	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.