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La Liga
Referee: J Alberola
Santander
S U T S T
2–1
Full-time
Alaves
T S U S S
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 9
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 13. · Alaves 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +15 +9.4 12
2 Alaves 4 3 1 0 +7 +2.7 10
3 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +2 -0.6 10
4 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 +7 +6.1 9
5 Betis 4 3 0 1 +0 -1.4 9
6 La Coruna 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.7 8
7 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.0 7
8 Osasuna 4 2 1 1 -1 +2.9 7
9 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 -2 -1.4 7
10 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 +1 -1.1 6
11 Levante 4 1 2 1 +0 +0.2 5
12 Espanol 4 1 1 2 +1 -1.4 4
13 Santander 4 1 1 2 -1 +2.0 4
14 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 -3 -3.6 4
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -3 -3.1 4
16 Celta 5 0 3 2 -3 -4.0 3
17 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 -2 +2.2 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 -6 -1.9 2
19 Elche 4 0 1 3 -7 -3.5 1
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 -9 +0.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -23 Alaves – Santander 3–0 1. Nov -22 Santander – Alaves 1–1

Match report

Santander Alaves
7′
🟨 Nahuel Tenaglia
8′
🟨 Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
18′
⚽ Ville Koski 0–1
Yassir Zabiri 🟨
35′
1–1 Yassir Zabiri ⚽
Iñigo Vicente
38′
45′
🔁 Carlos Protesoni
↦ Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras
45′
🔁 Nicolas Valentini
↦ Nahuel Tenaglia
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Yassir Zabiri ⚽
53′
62′
🟨 Antonio Blanco
Jorge Salinas Viadero 🟨
62′
André Almeida 🔁
↦ Pablo García
65′
67′
🔁 Carles Aleñá
↦ Antonio Blanco
67′
🔁 Toni Martínez
↦ Mariano Díaz
Giorgi Guliashvili 🔁
↦ Yassir Zabiri
74′
Iker Luque 🔁
↦ Sergio Canales
74′
Maguette Gueye 🔁
↦ Matteo Prati
83′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Iñigo Vicente
83′
86′
🔁 Aitor Mañas
↦ Angel Pérez Hidalgo
André Almeida ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed
88′
André Almeida 🟥
89′
Pedro Felipe 🔁
↦ Giorgi Guliashvili
97′
97′
🔁 Miguel Rodríguez
↦ Aitor Mañas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Julen Agirrezabala G
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
5 Pablo Ramón D
24 J. Belocian D
17 Jorge Salinas D
23 Iván Martín M
18 M. Prati M
15 Pablo García F
20 Sergio Canales M
10 Iñigo Vicente F
21 M. Zabiri F
Bench (12)
22 Pedro Felipe
31 Laro Gómez
16 Facundo González
4 Manu Hernando
14 M. Gueye
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
8 André Almeida
3 Aarón Martín
9 Juan Carlos Arana
7 G. Guliashvili
12 Asier Villalibre
19 Iker Luque

Coach: José Alberto López

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Sivera G
7 Angel Pérez D
14 N. Tenaglia D
16 V. Koski D
17 Jonny D
4 Denis Suárez M
19 Pablo Ibáñez M
8 Antonio Blanco M
21 A. Rebbach F
15 L. Boyé F
9 M. Díaz F
Bench (12)
12 Hugo Novoa
2 N. Valentini
27 X. Olaiz
3 Yusi
23 C. Benavídez
22 Miguel Rodríguez
6 Guevara
24 Selu Diallo
10 Carles Aleñá
11 Toni Martínez
20 Aitor Mañas
13 A. Giménez

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B
2,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
🔒
U1,5
4,15
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
U2,5
2,07
🔒
O3,5
2,70
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,44
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,55
🔒
BLS nei
2,30
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Alberola · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.