Premier League
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Ipswich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +3.1 | 9 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +2.4 | 9 |
| 3 |
Hull
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -1.4 | 7 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.4 | 6 |
| 5 |
Brentford
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +3 | +3.5 | 5 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | +0.9 | 5 |
| 7 |
Newcastle
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | -1.8 | 5 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | -1.2 | 5 |
| 9 |
Leeds
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | -0.4 | 5 |
| 10 |
Brighton
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | +2.0 | 4 |
| 11 |
Man United
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | +3.4 | 4 |
| 12 |
Sunderland
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | -0.1 | 4 |
| 13 |
Crystal Palace
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.7 | 3 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -1.4 | 3 |
| 15 |
Bournemouth
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -1.3 | 2 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +0.7 | 2 |
| 17 |
Aston Villa
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -4.2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Tottenham
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -2.9 | 1 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -2.0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Coventry
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -1.1 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
W. Benítez
G
C. Richards
D
A. Disasi
D
H. Ahanor
D
A. Khalaili
M
Q. Timber
M
A. Wharton
M
T. Mitchell
M
D. Kamada
M
Yeremy Pino
M
J. Strand Larsen
F
Coach: P. Sage
K. Scherpen
G
D. O'Shea
D
I. Diop
D
J. Greaves
D
L. Davis
D
S. Lukić
M
E. Palacios
M
A. Fatawu
M
J. Enciso
M
J. Clarke
M
Emersonn
F
Coach: G. O'Neil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crystal Palace
Middlesbrough
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Man City
Everton
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Vallecano
Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.