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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Rzucidlo
Slask Wroclaw
T U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Korona Kielce
S U S S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 24%
14%
33%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
71%
17%
Both score Ø 77%
86%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Slask Wroclaw 14. · Korona Kielce 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 6 5 1 0 +7 +6.4 16
2 Legia 7 4 3 0 +9 +4.6 15
3 Gornik Zabrze 6 5 0 1 +5 +0.6 15
4 Wisla 8 4 2 2 +4 +4.5 14
5 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
6 Piast Gliwice 7 3 1 3 +0 -4.2 10
7 GKS Katowice 6 3 0 3 +3 -1.3 9
8 Pogon Szczecin 6 2 3 1 +3 -1.1 9
9 Korona Kielce 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.9 9
10 Zaglebie 6 2 3 1 +1 +0.6 9
11 Cracovia 7 2 2 3 -2 +3.2 8
12 Radomiak Radom 7 2 2 3 -7 -2.9 8
13 Widzew Lodz 7 1 4 2 +0 -0.2 7
14 Slask Wroclaw 7 1 3 3 -2 -0.1 6
15 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
16 Wisla Plock 6 1 2 3 -7 -0.9 5
17 Wieczysta Krakow 6 1 1 4 -4 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 7 1 0 6 -7 -7.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Slask Wroclaw Korona Kielce
35′
Mariusz Stępiński 0–1
Dorian markowski 🔁
↦ Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
45′
Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes 🔁
↦ luka marjanac
45′
Half-time 0–1
57′
ℹ️ Michael Ameyaw
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
🔁 Camilo Mena
↦ Martin Remacle
64′
🔁 Morgan Faßbender
↦ Michael Ameyaw
Adam Ciućka 🔁
↦ Eniss Shabani
69′
Jan Jurčec 🔁
↦ Marc Llinares
69′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Slask Wroclaw

5-3-2
1 K. Niemczycki G
21 A. Timossi Andersson D
33 E. Matsenko D
5 L. Ba D
44 M. Malec D
8 Marc Llinares D
77 E. Shabani M
17 K. Linetty M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
10 M. Dembélé F
11 L. Marjanac F
Bench (12)
3 I. Christodoulou
31 H. Sliczniak
25 M. Szromnik
15 J. Yriarte
2 D. Szala
26 A. Zulewski
19 P. Banaszak
88 A. Ciucka
4 M. Dijakovic
9 Ieltsin Camões
27 Jan Jurčec
38 Dall'Oca

Coach: A. Šimundža

Korona Kielce

3-4-3
1 X. Dziekoński G
23 S. Rubežić D
6 M. Pięczek D
2 A. Mosór D
19 M. Ameyaw M
8 M. Remacle M
35 Kamil Jakubczyk M
18 P. Hellebrand M
71 W. Długosz F
14 M. Stępiński F
32 O. Lingr F
Bench (12)
21 K. Ciszek
9 S. Davidović
22 M. Faßbender
86 Simon Gustafson
87 R. Mamla
11 K. Matuszewski
98 C. Mena
10 Nono
24 B. Smolarczyk
44 K. Sotiriou
99 Daniel Bak
67 N. Barczak

Coach: J. Zielinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,70
U
3,32
B ✓
2,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,60
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,98
O3,5
3,00
U3,5 ✓
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,62
BLS nei
2,16

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.