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Ligue 1

Referee: Aurelien Petit

Lorient

S T U T S

2–2

Full-time

Toulouse

S S T U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lorient 8. · Toulouse 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.1	10
2	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+3	-1.2	10
3	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
4	Paris FC	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.0	7
5	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
6	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.8	7
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.9	5
8	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
9	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-3	-0.4	4
10	Lens	3	1	0	2	+1	+3.7	3
11	Marseille	4	1	0	3	+0	+1.4	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.5	3
13	Paris SG	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
14	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.1	2
15	Nice	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.8	2
16	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
17	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.2	1
18	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.2	7
2	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
3	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
4	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.7	3
5	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
6	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
8	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
12	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.4	1
13	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
16	Le Havre	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
3	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
4	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
5	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
6	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
7	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
8	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
11	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
12	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
17	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.