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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Ajax

S T T S S

5–0

Full-time

For Sittard

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 2/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,11 xG 0,07

74% Possession 26%

25 Shots 4

14 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

15 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+17	+10.2	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
3	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.1	10
4	Groningen	5	2	3	0	+4	+0.5	9
5	Willem II	5	2	2	1	+4	-1.2	8
6	Twente	5	2	2	1	+2	+8.0	8
7	Feyenoord	4	1	3	0	+4	+3.8	6
8	For Sittard	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.4	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.4	6
10	Nijmegen	5	2	0	3	+0	-3.2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.4	6
12	NAC Breda	5	2	0	3	-6	-3.2	6
13	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.8	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.5	4
15	Heracles	5	0	3	2	-5	-1.8	3
16	Almere City	5	0	2	3	-10	-6.5	2
17	Waalwijk	5	0	0	5	-13	-8.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.8	9
2	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.8	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.4	6
4	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.3	6
5	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+3	-0.0	5
6	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	+6.2	5
7	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.5	4
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.5	3
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
12	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
14	Heracles	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.0	2
15	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
16	Almere City	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.0	1
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	+4.0	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
3	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+2.1	5
4	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
8	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.1	3
9	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
11	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
12	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.5	1
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
14	Almere City	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.5	1
15	Heerenveen	2	0	0	2	-3	-3.3	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.9	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.