The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sudtirol
Modena
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palermo
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.0 | 9 |
| 2 |
Mantova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +1.1 | 7 |
| 3 |
Sudtirol
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -1.3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Ascoli
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | -1.9 | 7 |
| 5 |
Modena
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | +0.7 | 6 |
| 6 |
Avellino
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 7 |
Pisa
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0 | +1.3 | 6 |
| 8 |
Empoli
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 | 6 |
| 9 |
Arezzo
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Cesena
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | +0.3 | 5 |
| 11 |
Verona
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | +2.5 | 4 |
| 12 |
Virtus Entella
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -0.2 | 4 |
| 13 |
Benevento
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +0 | +1.2 | 4 |
| 14 |
Padova
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.1 | 4 |
| 15 |
Vicenza
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -0.2 | 4 |
| 16 |
Cremonese
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 17 |
Juve Stabia
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.7 | 3 |
| 18 |
Carrarese
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +0.0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Catanzaro
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -1.0 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Plizzari
G
R. Stivanello
D
A. Giorgini
D
G. Stabile
D
S. Molina
M
Fabio Rispoli
M
S. Tronchin
M
B. Bjarkason
M
Vasco Lopes
M
Kevin Zeroli
M
A. Okoro
F
Coach: D. Possanzini
L. Chichizola
G
D. Tonoli
D
S. Nador
D
B. Nieling
D
F. Zampano
M
G. Brugman
M
A. Bianco
M
S. Santoro
M
G. Caso
M
G. Olzer
F
G. Ambrosino
F
Coach: D. Galloppa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
Benevento
Sudtirol
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Sudtirol
Bari
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.