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Serie B
Sudtirol
U U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Modena
T T S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 3. · Modena 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Palermo 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.0 9
2 Mantova 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.1 7
3 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +3 -1.3 7
4 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 +2 -1.9 7
5 Modena 3 2 0 1 +3 +0.7 6
6 Avellino 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.6 6
7 Pisa 4 2 0 2 +0 +1.3 6
8 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.6 6
9 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 -0.0 6
10 Cesena 3 1 2 0 +1 +0.3 5
11 Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 +2.5 4
12 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 -0.2 4
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 +0 +1.2 4
14 Padova 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.1 4
15 Vicenza 3 1 1 1 -2 -0.2 4
16 Cremonese 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
17 Juve Stabia 3 1 0 2 -3 -0.7 3
18 Carrarese 3 0 1 2 -2 -0.2 1
19 Sampdoria 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.0 1
20 Catanzaro 3 0 0 3 -4 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Modena
Fabio Rispoli 🟨
22′
1–0 Alvin Okoro
Salvatore Molina
35′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-4-2-1
22 A. Plizzari G
4 R. Stivanello D
55 A. Giorgini D
27 G. Stabile D
79 S. Molina M
10 Fabio Rispoli M
5 S. Tronchin M
20 B. Bjarkason M
11 Vasco Lopes M
18 Kevin Zeroli M
90 A. Okoro F
Bench (12)
9 R. Burnete
46 D. Brik
23 F. Davi
24 S. Davì
25 K. Mixtur
19 M. Pellini
80 Elias Schroot
21 F. Tait
12 Rok Vadjunec
14 A. Vasic
3 D. Veroli
17 L. Anghelè

Coach: D. Possanzini

Modena

3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola G
77 D. Tonoli D
6 S. Nador D
20 B. Nieling D
7 F. Zampano M
16 G. Brugman M
42 A. Bianco M
8 S. Santoro M
10 G. Caso M
72 G. Olzer F
70 G. Ambrosino F
Bench (12)
29 L. Bacchin
11 A. Belotti
17 K. Bozhanaj
22 L. Consiglio
27 Paulo Azzi
23 F. Folino
26 A. Imputato
9 D. Montevago
15 Martino Odero
34 Diego Ronco
32 W. Acquah
28 D. Adorni

Coach: D. Galloppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U ✓
2,95
B
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,36
U1,5
3,00
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,59
O3,5
3,80
U3,5 ✓
1,24
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,78
BLS nei
1,93

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.