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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof

For Sittard

T T S T U

3–1

Full-time

Cambuur

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Cambuur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,91 xG 2,51

36% Possession 64%

17 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match For Sittard 12. · Cambuur 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.9	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.0	4
3	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
4	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
5	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
8	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
10	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
11	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
12	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
13	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
14	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
16	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
17	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0
18	Willem II	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
3	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.4	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
6	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
7	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.7	0
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
9	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
10	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
12	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0
13	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.7	3
2	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
6	Telstar	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
11	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.7	0
13	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.