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Eredivisie
Referee: Jannick van der Laan
Twente
T S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T T T U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
24 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 10
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 5. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 +11 +7.1 16
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +12 +9.1 13
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +6 +7.8 11
4 Excelsior 5 3 1 1 +7 +2.4 10
5 Twente 5 3 1 1 +5 +4.9 10
6 For Sittard 5 3 1 1 +2 -6.5 10
7 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 +2 -1.2 8
8 Ajax 4 2 1 1 +4 +2.6 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 +2 +1.5 7
10 Groningen 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.9 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 +0 -1.9 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 -2 -2.6 5
13 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 -4 -1.6 4
14 Telstar 5 1 1 3 -6 -1.5 4
15 Utrecht 5 0 2 3 -9 -3.0 2
16 Willem II 5 0 2 3 -9 -2.9 2
17 Den Haag 5 0 1 4 -8 -6.2 1
18 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 -12 -6.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Den Haag
33′
🟨 Finn de Bruin
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Sin
↦ F. de Bruin
50′
🟨 Jalen Hawkins
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ M. Pjaca
55′
61′
🔁 J. Bal
↦ J. Hawkins
1–0 W. Weghorst
61′
67′
🔁 D. van Mieghem
↦ O. Raterink
67′
🔁 D. Barany
↦ Y. Eduardo
T. van den Belt 🔁
↦ Y. Taha
69′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ S. Orjasaeter
69′
2–0 R. Propper
D. Weidmann
74′
75′
🔁 S. Sylla
↦ M. Hokke
J. Bawuah 🔁
↦ D. Weidmann
76′
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
76′
Max Bruns 🟨
79′
87′
🟨 Sekou Sylla
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
38 M. Bruns D
3 R. Pröpper D
4 R. Nijstad D
6 R. Zerrouki M
8 D. Weidmann M
7 M. Pjaca M
10 Y. Taha M
27 S. Ørjasæter M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (11)
29 A. Adelgaard
18 Jordy Bawuah
16 J. Drommel
24 K. Kurowski
22 R. Pasveer
2 M. Rosiak
11 D. Rots
17 F. Thorvaldsen
25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
20 T. van den Belt
37 N. Ünüvar

Coach: J. van den Brom

Den Haag

5-3-2
1 K. Nikiéma G
2 O. Raterink D
3 P. Mulder D
4 M. Waem D
5 J. Jensen-Abbew D
15 M. Hokke D
16 F. de Bruin M
11 E. Rottier M
25 J. Kilo M
46 Y. Eduardo F
17 J. Hawkins F
Bench (12)
33 M. Šín
7 D. van Mieghem
10 Illaijh de Ruijter
22 L. Wilhelm
27 N. Thomas
23 N. Thiede
18 S. Sylla
19 L. Reischl
35 S. Puljhun
77 D. Bárány
9 J. Bal
8 J. Žambůrek

Coach: R. Peter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,40
B
9,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,08
U1,5
7,30
O2,5
1,30
U2,5 ✓
3,33
O3,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
1,98
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,63
BLS nei ✓
2,11

Referee

Jannick van der Laan · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.