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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Sansalan
Samsunspor
S U S T T
1–5
Full-time
Corum
U T T S
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Corum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

0,91 xG 1,46
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Samsunspor 13. · Corum 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Besiktas 5 4 0 1 +8 +6.7 12
2 Galatasaray 4 3 1 0 +6 +7.3 10
3 Kocaelispor 4 3 0 1 +2 -1.1 9
4 Trabzonspor 4 2 1 1 +5 -0.1 7
5 Amedspor 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.4 7
6 Gaziantep 4 2 1 1 +2 +0.3 7
7 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.0 7
8 Genclerbirligi 4 2 1 1 -3 -4.5 7
9 Fenerbahce 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.9 6
10 Kasimpasa 4 1 3 0 +1 +1.1 6
11 Rizespor 4 2 0 2 -1 +2.8 6
12 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 +0 +0.2 4
13 Samsunspor 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.4 4
14 Corum 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.9 4
15 Erzurumspor 5 1 1 3 -9 -5.9 4
16 Eyüpspor 4 1 0 3 -4 -2.9 3
17 Goztep 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
18 Konyaspor 4 0 0 4 -5 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Samsunspor Corum
1′
J. Ramirez 0–1
1–1 L. Tomasson
E. Kilinc
5′
10′
C. Under 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Samsunspor

4-3-3
1 Okan Kocuk G
2 Josafat Mendes D
34 Gabriele Guarino D
16 Strahinja Eraković D
17 Logi Tomasson D
20 Yalçın Kayan M
8 Samed Onur M
5 Celil Yüksel M
30 Saikuba Jarju F
9 Marius Mouandilmadji F
11 Emre Kılınç F
Bench (8)
25 Bilal Bayazit
13 Efe Yiğit Üstün
22 Yunus Emre Çift
3 Igor Drapiński
23 Enes Albak
29 Haluk Mustafa Tan
42 Antoine Sekongo
18 Mohamed Bayo

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Corum

4-1-4-1
1 Marcos Felipe G
11 Gökhan Sazdağı D
4 Serdar Saatçı D
6 Hrvoje Smolčić D
24 Andrei Borza D
20 Ylber Ramadani M
7 Cengiz Ünder M
10 Mohammed Diomande M
16 Fredy M
89 Alexandros Kyziridis M
19 Jesús Ramírez F
Bench (10)
18 Erhan Erentürk
5 Alexandre Penetra
88 Cemali Sertel
15 Arda Şengül
2 Çağlar Söyüncü
8 Markus Karlsbakk
21 Göktan Gürpüz
3 Berat Özdemir
26 Ermin Mahmić
14 Youssoufa Moukoko

Coach: Tamer Sivrikaya

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,26
B ✓
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
4,00
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
2,85
U3,5
1,40
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,58
BLS nei
2,23

Referee

Ali Sansalan · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.