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Serie B
Cesena
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Cremonese
S T T S S
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cesena 11. · Cremonese 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Palermo 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.0 9
2 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 -1.3 8
3 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 +0.7 7
4 Mantova 3 2 1 0 +3 +1.1 7
5 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 -1.9 7
6 Padova 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.1 7
7 Avellino 3 2 0 1 +3 -0.6 6
8 Pisa 4 2 0 2 +0 +1.3 6
9 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.6 6
10 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 -0.0 6
11 Cesena 3 1 2 0 +1 +0.3 5
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 -2 -0.2 5
13 Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 +2.5 4
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 -0.2 4
15 Benevento 4 1 1 2 +0 +1.2 4
16 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 -0.7 4
17 Cremonese 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.5 3
18 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.0 3
19 Sampdoria 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.0 1
20 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 -0.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cesena Cremonese
1–0 Cristian Shpendi
Dimitri Bisoli
22′
Cristian Shpendi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
22′
Antonio Fiori 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
Mihajlo Ilic 🟨
48′
X. Druiventak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
57′
58′
🔁 Salvatore Elia
↦ Jari Vandeputte
59′
🔁 Morten Thorsby
↦ Tommaso Berti
59′
🔁 Michele Collocolo
↦ Alessandro Vogliacco
2–0 Cristian Shpendi
59′
Gianluca Frabotta 🔁
↦ X. Druiventak
61′
66′
🔁 Federico Baschirotto
↦ Yuri Rocchetti
70′
🔁 Manuel De Luca
↦ Simone Pontisso
Marco Dalla Vecchia 🔁
↦ Massimiliano Mangraviti
70′
Luca D'Andrea 🔁
↦ Antonio Fiori
70′
75′
Michele Collocolo 2–1
Federico Bonazzoli
Jacopo Gelli 🟨
77′
80′
Federico Bonazzoli 2–2
Sebastiano Luperto
Gianluca Frabotta 🟨
80′
Alessandro Debenedetti 🔁
↦ Matteo Guidi
87′
90′
🟨 Federico Bonazzoli
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cesena

4-2-3-1
1 A. Siano G
15 A. Ciofi D
6 M. Ilić D
4 J. Gelli D
24 M. Mangraviti D
10 R. Pagano M
18 M. Guidi M
14 X. Druiventak M
25 D. Bisoli M
80 A. Fiori M
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
8 M. Francesconi
23 V. Magni
2 M. Natta
26 M. Piacentini
5 L. Schirone
32 E. Bohinen
16 L. D'Andrea
27 M. Dalla Vecchia
3 A. David
91 A. Debenedetti
39 N. Fontana
7 G. Frabotta

Coach: Alessandro Diamanti

Cremonese

4-2-3-1
22 F. Agazzi G
38 A. Vogliacco D
15 M. Bianchetti D
5 S. Luperto D
21 Y. Rocchetti D
16 F. Gerli M
20 S. Pontisso M
10 Adin Ličina M
14 T. Berti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (12)
12 M. Festa
71 S. Elia
9 M. De Luca
18 M. Collocolo
6 F. Baschirotto
59 Riccardo Liberali
17 A. Lickūnas
8 Simone Lottici Tessadri
13 Fellipe Jack
19 M. Nasti
2 M. Thorsby
11 M. Đurić

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
3,17
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,60
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
3,20
U3,5
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,62
BLS nei
2,13

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.